Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.005279 0.005816 0.006398 0.007076 0.007848 0.008703 0.009725
2025-10-12 0.004463 0.005216 0.006095 0.007207 0.008589 0.010269 0.012493
2025-10-19 0.003908 0.004742 0.005764 0.007128 0.008929 0.011267 0.014602
2025-10-26 0.003522 0.004399 0.005517 0.007074 0.009233 0.012195 0.016701
2025-11-02 0.003200 0.004093 0.005267 0.006960 0.009408 0.012931 0.018604
2025-11-09 0.002988 0.003904 0.005143 0.006991 0.009768 0.013951 0.021073
2025-11-16 0.002776 0.003694 0.004964 0.006914 0.009947 0.014702 0.023219
2025-11-23 0.002570 0.003472 0.004747 0.006752 0.009965 0.015186 0.024971
2025-11-30 0.002454 0.003369 0.004690 0.006823 0.010351 0.016312 0.028066
2025-12-07 0.002392 0.003337 0.004735 0.007051 0.011014 0.017997 0.032554
2025-12-14 0.002254 0.003183 0.004579 0.006940 0.011083 0.018619 0.035022
2025-12-21 0.002124 0.003031 0.004415 0.006797 0.011076 0.019094 0.037265
2025-12-28 0.002026 0.002927 0.004327 0.006789 0.011334 0.020158 0.041182
2026-01-04 0.001961 0.002873 0.004315 0.006912 0.011856 0.021849 0.047069
2026-01-11 0.001864 0.002760 0.004198 0.006837 0.011987 0.022741 0.051212
2026-01-18 0.001780 0.002663 0.004100 0.006786 0.012154 0.023738 0.055923
2026-01-25 0.001693 0.002556 0.003977 0.006677 0.012192 0.024443 0.060030
2026-02-01 0.001637 0.002495 0.003930 0.006706 0.012518 0.025876 0.066777
2026-02-08 0.001568 0.002410 0.003835 0.006634 0.012617 0.026777 0.072169
2026-02-15 0.001491 0.002308 0.003704 0.006480 0.012519 0.027166 0.076008
2026-02-22 0.001453 0.002270 0.003684 0.006547 0.012926 0.028938 0.085410
2026-03-01 0.001438 0.002271 0.003736 0.006763 0.013706 0.031872 0.100575
2026-03-08 0.001380 0.002194 0.003638 0.006658 0.013707 0.032627 0.107365